Many lingering arguments are coming to a tipping point, in society, the economy, and our health. 2020 has laid bare the failures of our public sector to resolve these arguments. We live an in era of private sector confidence, and that is where real change will come from.
Many are regretting not preparing for the disruptions they are now facing. What should you prepare for next? How about…
America has woken up. We are beginning to win the early battles against COVID-19. There is reason to be optimistic.
Entering year 4 of a 15-year private sector confidence cycle, expect a mixed bag for risk-on asset classes in a…
The interplay of public and private sector confidence continues to drive major political and market events
Critical slowing down in the S&P 500 suggest a transition, markets have waved off event risk, and prices have moved decisively higher.
Recession fears are everywhere. These fears are likely overblown. Consumer economic data remains robust and the Fed has cut rates twice as manufacturing has softened. US stocks have posted robust gains. And the 3 month/10 year spread in Treasuries has uninverted.
NLP analysis of available FOMC communications suggests a much lower likelihood of a rate cut than markets expect. Economic data also implies that a data-driven FOMC would hold rates steady. Be prepared for a surprise on Wednesday.
Using deep learning to analyze a wide swath of economic data suggests that optimism should be in the cards, not a recession.
Markets are catching up to the staying power of the trade war. Let’s use NLP to analyze the President’s Tweets on trade.